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May 18th NFL news ... Welcome to Betting football system, the informational site for those that bet on football.

Welcome to bettingfootballsystem.com, the informational site for those that bet on football.

In order to score a profit over the long run, the football bettor needs to be in tune with all of the key trends, stats and news.

By logging on throughout the football season you will get all of the key info in addition to write-ups on games.

Latest NFL News

SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (4-7) at JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (3-8)
2011-12-05

Sportsbook.com Line & Total: San Diego -3 (-125) & 39
Opening Line & Total: Chargers -3 & 41

The Jaguars play their first game since 2003 without head coach Jack Del Rio when they host the slumping Chargers on Monday Night Football.

Del Rio, who posted a 68-71 record in his tenure with Jacksonville, was fired on Tuesday and will be replaced by defensive coordinator Mel Tucker, who hasnt decided on which one of his subpar quarterbacks (Blaine Gabbert or Luke McCown) will start on Monday night. But in terms of making mistakes, no QB has been more turnover-prone than San Diegos Philip Rivers who leads the NFL with 17 interceptions, tossing 10 picks during his teams current six-game losing skid. The Jags defense has been inconsistent all year but, outside of the Saints, no one has moved the ball on them in Jacksonville. They also have the most consistent running back in the NFL in Maurice Jones-Drew, who has rushed for 80+ yards in all but one of his teams 11 games and leads the AFC with 1,040 rushing yards on the season.

The Chargers have a chance to win one against a Jaguars team that doesnt pose a threat to their depleted secondary. They also had little trouble throwing on Jacksonvilles secondary last year in a 38-13 blowout win. Rivers tossed 3 TD passes and finished with 334 yards through the air. Despite last weeks OT loss to Denver, the Chargers beleaguered offensive line played much better, allowing the team to rush for 185 yards. Ryan Mathews ran for 137 of those yards on just 22 carries (6.2 YPC), proving that his bothersome knee injury is close to 100 percent. No. 1 WR Vincent Jackson continued his roller coaster season, catching only two passes for 25 yards against the Broncos. For the season, Jackson has six games of fewer than 50 receiving yards and four games of 100+ yards. He could have another down week facing Jacksonvilles fourth-best pass defense (183 YPG).

The Jaguars QB situation is certainly unsettled. Rookie QB Blaine Gabbert has the worst passer rating in the entire league (62.2), and he was benched in last weeks loss to Houston in favor of Luke McCown. The eight-year veteran started the season as the No. 1 QB, but lost his job in the middle of Week 2 after throwing four interceptions against the Jets. McCown was serviceable in the Texans game (7-of-11, 62 yards) but his career passer rating of 68.5 (6.4 YPA, 9 TD, 14 INT) doesnt inspire much confidence. Not only has Jones-Drew done the job rushing the football, but hes now getting more involved in the passing game, tallying 11 receptions in the past three weeks. He had just 12 catches in his first eight games this year. San Diegos secondary should be able to limit whichever QB is under center, but its run defense will have a hard time stopping Jones-Drew. The Chargers currently place 25th in the NFL in run defense, allowing 132 rushing YPG.

Texas Sized Showdown
2010-09-21

Sportsbook.com Line: Houston -3, Total: 46.5

Bragging rights for the state of Texas are on the line Sunday at 1 PM ET as the undefeated Houston Texans host the surprisingly winless Dallas Cowboys.

Despite being favored in their first two games, Dallas is 0-2. Houston rushed for 257 yards in a season-opening win against Indianapolis and then took to the air in a 30-27 overtime-comeback win in Washington in Week 2.

The Cowboys may not be at full strength for Sunday’s game. Star tight end Jason Witten is questionable after suffering a concussion in the loss to Chicago. CB Mike Jenkins is also questionable for Sunday’s game with a knee injury.

The biggest question in “Big D” is the Cowboys offense, which has just two offensive touchdowns this year. Tony Romo has thrown for 656 yards, but has just two TD and two INT to show for it. Granted, the two picks were the result of tipped balls and not poor throws, but there is no excuse for the Cowboys running game. Dallas rushed for a meager 36 yards against Chicago as Felix Jones was held to seven yards on seven carries.

No such offensive problems are present with the Texans. Matt Schaub threw for 497 yards against the Redskins and Arian Foster leads the NFL in rushing with 300 yards. Andre Johnson, the best wide receiver on the planet right now, caught 12 passes for 158 yards and a touchdown in the win over Washington. Johnson left Sunday’s game with a sprained right ankle, but was able to return, and also expects to play against Dallas this week.

These teams have only met twice in the past. Houston’s first-ever NFL game in 2002 was a stunning 19-10 upset over Dallas. The Cowboys waited four years to get their revenge, then blew out the Texans 34-6 in a 2006 game.

Bettors that think Dallas will get back on the covering track will be pleased to read the following betting trend:

Play Against - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game against opponent after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game. (36-13 over the last 10 seasons.) (73.5%, +21.7 units. Rating = 2*).

Meanwhile, if you are planning on betting on the ‘total’, pay attention to this trend:

Play Over - Any team against the total (DALLAS) - after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game against opponent after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game. (55-20 over the last 10 seasons.) (73.3%, +33 units. Rating = 3*).

Now that you have the key numbers on Sunday’s Cowboys @ Texans game, head over to Sportsbook.com to place your bets. After making your wagers, be sure to check out the always popular $100,000 Perfect Parlay promotion.

NFL: Late Afternoon Kickoffs (4:05 PM ET, CBS & FOX)
2009-12-04

The NFL has a very light schedule in the late afternoon on Sunday. In fact, there are only three contests, and only one of them has any real intrigue. Here’s a look at all three contests, with a pick on the big Cowboys-Giants clash.

(355) SAN DIEGO at (356) CLEVELAND

San Diego looks to continue its march towards a potential bye in the first round of the AFC playoffs when it travels to Cleveland. Since opening 2-3 in ’09, the Chargers have won six straight games to assume the lead in the AFC West Division. However, the Broncos are just a game back and nipping at their heels so every game is important the rest of the way. After this game, San Diego will face a difficult 3-game set but this is the time where they have typically turned it on under Norv Turner, going 12-2 SU & ATS in post-Thanksgiving holiday weekend games in his tenure. Cleveland has yet to win in four games at home in ’09, and is 0-9 SU & 1-7-1 ATS in its L9 as hosts overall. San Diego owns a 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS edge in its L7 games vs. the Browns.

(357) SAN FRANCISCO at (358) SEATTLE

Seattle returns home for the first time since November 8th, a welcomed event considering how much better the Seahawks have played at home in ’09 as compared to on the road. As host, they are 3-2 SU & ATS, outscoring foes by over 10 PPG. On the road, they’ve gone just 1-5 SU & ATS. They have also not lost a late season game ATS at home since ’06, going 7-0-1 ATS in post-Thanksgiving weekend games in that span. The 49ers won the September matchup between these teams, 23-10, gaining a season high 256 yards rushing. They are 1-4 SU on the road, but 3-0-2 ATS. Dating back to mid-’08, San Francisco is 6-2-2 ATS in away games. They have also swept their three games vs. NFC West rivals so far, both SU & ATS. Seattle is on a run of 12-4 ATS as a favorite.

The other game pits the Cowboys & Giants. Here is a pick on that contest from the StatFox Platinum Sheet: I see a lot of NFL commentators remarking about the importance of the Giants’ next two games in their quest for a playoff berth in 2009. My thought is this…Are the Giants really a playoff team? Would a playoff-caliber club be saddled by a trend like this one: NY GIANTS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season. The average score was NY GIANTS 20.2, OPPONENT 31.7 - (Rating = 2*). At the same time, Dallas is 2-games better in the standings than New York, and was able to escape its recent offensive rut by still winning two of three games. Now that is what good teams do, and in this case, our good team will be motivated by revenge as well: Play On - Any team (DALLAS) - revenging a same season loss against opponent, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record. (59-27 over the last 10 seasons.) (68.6%, +29.3 units. Rating = 2*). Look for the Cowboys to put a first nail in the G-Men coffin for ’09. Play: Dallas

NFL - Miami at New England (4:15 PM ET – CBS)
2007-12-21

Pointspreads are coming back down to earth in New England games as despite projections a couple weeks back of the first 30-point line in NFL history, the Patriots will be laying just 22 to the Dolphins on Sunday.

HC Bill Belichick’s team has clinched home field advantage in the playoffs but still has that one other goal in mind…a perfect season. Miami is riding high after winning its first game of ’07 over Baltimore, after which it proceeded to celebrate as if winning the Super Bowl. The chances for two-in-a row are miniscule, as the Dolphins are on an ugly 0-8 ATS skid in the second half of the season vs. teams winning 75% or more of their games, being outscored by a 32.0-4.5 margin! The Pats are 5-2 SU & 6-1 ATS in their L7 hosting Miami.

The Dolphins are beyond explanation other than to say they are one of the worst teams in league history, a fact proven by their abysmal record but somewhat challenged by the statistics. On defense, the Fins have potential, holding teams to less than 180 passing yards per game. It is on offense where the troubles begin, lacking proven ability at nearly every position on the field and desperate for a sense of purpose that has been missing since RB Ronnie Brown was lost to injury.

On the other side of the field resides a team that will challenge for the title of best ever. The Patriots have dominated in all facets of the game and have yet to need a prolific contribution from the rushing offense. The leadership of QB Tom Brady is unmatched and has led this team to a level of success rarely seen in the NFL. There have been challenges, but it appears this team has persevered and is now ready to charge forward towards historical greatness.

Keys to the Game
Two teams on a collision course, each coming from opposite directions. This contest should break the all-time record for a spread margin in a National Football League game, unless word leaks Miami wants to rest starters (just kidding). The only question of value from this AFC East division contest is who will cover the spread. The Patriots are 12-2 ATS the last seven seasons during the last two weeks of the year. Miami, with its ever-growing problems, will be faced with more questions to be answered than a Democratic debate. There is no debating the Dolphins have failed in the Northeast with 1-6 ATS mark.

Trends
~ Miami is 9-24 ATS in December division tilts.
~ New England is 22-8-1 ATS as a division favorite.

StatFox Edge – Patriots cover