Betting football systemDecember 11th NFL news ... Welcome to Betting football system, the informational site for those that bet on football.
Welcome to bettingfootballsystem.com, the informational site for those that bet on football.
In order to score a profit over the long run, the football bettor needs to be in tune with all of the key trends, stats and news.
By logging on throughout the football season you will get all of the key info in addition to write-ups on games.
Latest NFL NewsNFL Sunday Week 7 Studs and Duds
1. Bob Sutton, Kansas City Chiefs defensive coordinator: Many casual fans might not recognize Sutton as the Chiefs' defensive coordinator. He is not a hotshot up-and-comer and has been on few, if any, NFL head-coaching lists. (Sutton, in fact, was the head coach at Army for nine years before spending 13 years on the New York Jets' staff.) But it's time that Sutton gets some credit for the Chiefs' 7-0 start. His defense has been elite against the pass all season, and Sunday, he dialed up some creative blitzes that generated four fourth-quarter sacks in a one-point victory over the Houston Texans. Under Sutton, the Chiefs haven't allowed more than 17 points in a game.
2. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers quarterback: There is no doubt Rodgers has been fortunate to play with some talented receivers and tight ends in his six years as the Packers' starter. In general, however, we don't give enough credit to elite quarterbacks who make the players around them better. Rodgers took the field Sunday without two of his top three receivers, James Jones and Randall Cobb. Later, tight end Jermichael Finley departed after a scary neck/head injury. Still, Rodgers led the Packers to a comfortable 31-13 victory over the Cleveland Browns by making little-known Jarrett Boykin -- once released by the Jacksonville Jaguars -- his favored receiver. Boykin caught eight of the 10 passes Rodgers threw him for 103 yards and a touchdown. Nothing against Boykin, but he doesn't have a game like that with a lesser quarterback.
3. Robert Griffin III, Washington Redskins quarterback: Multiple injuries to Bears defensive players require us to consider in context the 45 points that Griffin and the Redskins put up Sunday. Still, Griffin's recent willingness to run bodes well for both him and the Redskins' competitiveness in the wide-open NFC East. He gained 84 yards on 11 carries against the Bears, including 70 yards on eight read-option plays. Over the past two weeks, as he continues to regain form after knee surgery, Griffin has 161 rushing yards. No one thinks Griffin should, or could, repeat the rushing success of his rookie year, which helped lead to the knee injury. But simply putting that possibility on tape is critical to limiting the defensive options of opponents moving forward.
4. Seattle Seahawks: What? Yes, I know the Seahawks played the Thursday night game and ordinarily wouldn't be a candidate for this post. But an unusual streak involving the Seahawks is threatening to become interesting. The Tennessee Titans' loss to the San Francisco 49ers means that all six teams the Seahawks have played this season have subsequently lost the following week. At some point, that streak will shift from coincidence to notable fact. Maybe it already has. Regardless, the Seahawks play hard and hit hard, and evidence is growing that it takes some time to recover from games against them.
5. Andrew Luck, Indianapolis Colts quarterback: I'm not going to say that Luck (228 yards, three touchdowns) outdueled Peyton Manning (386 yards, four total touchdowns, one interception) just because the Colts defeated the Broncos. I just think Luck deserves exceptional credit for playing a productive, mistake-free game when the entire storyline for a week centered around Manning's return to Indianapolis. If there was any doubt about Luck's status as an elite NFL quarterback, it should be erased by now. In his own way, Luck has proved as aggressive, competitive and resourceful as the player he replaced.
1. 2013 Official Playing Rules of the National Football League: That's the, well, official title for the NFL rulebook. We've previously seen indications that its length, nuance and detail were weighing on those charged with implementing it during games. (Referee Bill Leavy misapplied rules on two occasions in the first month of the season.) Sunday, a new and never-before-called rule essentially decided the Jets-Patriots game. Referee Jerome Boger caught the Patriots' Chris Jones pushing teammate Will Svitek in an attempt to block a potential game-winning field goal. That move was in violation of Rule 9, Section 1, Article 3, which states: "[P]layers cannot push teammates on the line of scrimmage into the offensive formation." The resulting penalty gave Jets place-kicker Nick Folk an easier field goal, which he converted in overtime for the win. What's worse, Patriots coach Bill Belichick built a postgame rebuttal based on the wording of a draft of the rule, which was amended before NFL owners approved it last spring. (In fact, it doesn't matter whether the player who pushes his teammate comes from the "second level" or the line of scrimmage.) I'm not sure if the league could ever agree on stripping down the rulebook, but at the moment it appears to be getting in the way of the game rather than helping it.
2. Brandon Meriweather, Washington Redskins safety: The focus on head injuries has created an environment where fans expect a penalty on every crushing hit. (Prime example: a legal shoulder-to-chest hit Sunday on Detroit Lions receiver Calvin Johnson by Cincinnati Bengals safety Reggie Nelson.) But even in that environment, Meriweather is making a mockery of the league's attempts. Does he have any clue how he is expected to play? Already fined $42,000 for a head shot that knocked out Green Bay Packers tailback Eddie Lacy earlier this season, Meriweather earned a pair of 15-yard penalties Sunday. One was for a helmet-to-helmet hit on Bears receiver Alshon Jeffery and the other was for a hit to receiver Brandon Marshall's face mask on the goal line. Meriweather told reporters that "I feel every hit I took was a legal hit," but I can only assume that response was a simple refusal to incriminate himself. Say what you want about the league's methods for reducing brain injuries, but they are here to stay -- and Meriweather is flat out ignoring them. Anything short of a suspension, upheld by an appeal, won't suffice.
3.The most mild mistakes: You absolutely never know what will decide a game. There are any number of legitimate reasons why the Lions should have defeated the Bengals in regulation at Ford Field, but the game appeared headed for overtime when Lions rookie punter Sam Martin jogged on the field with 33 seconds remaining. The ball was on the Lions' 23-yard line, but if Martin had come anywhere close to his average punt length, the Bengals would have been pinned inside their 30-yard line and almost certainly would have kneeled on the ball. Most of us were looking ahead to overtime when Martin shanked a 28-yard punt. The Bengals took over at their 49-yard line. Quarterback Andy Dalton threw a 7-yard pass, followed it with an 8-yard pass and all of a sudden Mike Nugent was in position for a game-winning 54-yard field goal.
4.Hair-pulling: You read me right. If you were watching the snoozer between the Dallas Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles, you saw the Eagles' Bradley Fletcher attempt to "block" the Cowboys' B.W. Webb by pulling the hair that flows from under Webb's helmet. Using the hair to make a tackle is legal under NFL rules -- it's considered no different from grabbing an arm or leg. But with so many players now sporting long hair, I'm not sure I see the connection between tackling and blocking. If you grabbed a player's arm as he was covering a kick, as Webb was, wouldn't that be holding? At the risk of adding another complication to the rulebook, I wonder if we should see holding penalties for hair-pulling in a blocking situation. (I can't even believe I just wrote that sentence.)
5. Game-day roster limits: Each NFL team is allowed 46 active players per game, leading NFL coaches to make difficult decisions that generally go unnoticed. Sunday, San Diego Chargers coach Mike McCoy had seven linemen in uniform, then watched in horror as his left tackle (King Dunlap) and backup left tackle (Mike Remmers) were injured. Ultimately, the Chargers played with right tackle D.J. Fluker on the left side, guard Jeromey Clary at right tackle and a tight end as his emergency backup. The Lions were forced to send injured left tackle Riley Reiff back into the game when right tackle Corey Hilliard was injured. Finally, the Texans lost tailback Arian Foster and then, briefly, backup Ben Tate. If Tate hadn't returned, the Texans would have had to use fullback Greg Jones as their lead back. Sometimes, 46 just isn't enough.
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SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (4-7) at JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (3-8)
Sportsbook.com Line & Total: San Diego -3 (-125) & 39
Opening Line & Total: Chargers -3 & 41
The Jaguars play their first game since 2003 without head coach Jack Del Rio when they host the slumping Chargers on Monday Night Football.
Del Rio, who posted a 68-71 record in his tenure with Jacksonville, was fired on Tuesday and will be replaced by defensive coordinator Mel Tucker, who hasnt decided on which one of his subpar quarterbacks (Blaine Gabbert or Luke McCown) will start on Monday night. But in terms of making mistakes, no QB has been more turnover-prone than San Diegos Philip Rivers who leads the NFL with 17 interceptions, tossing 10 picks during his teams current six-game losing skid. The Jags defense has been inconsistent all year but, outside of the Saints, no one has moved the ball on them in Jacksonville. They also have the most consistent running back in the NFL in Maurice Jones-Drew, who has rushed for 80+ yards in all but one of his teams 11 games and leads the AFC with 1,040 rushing yards on the season.
The Chargers have a chance to win one against a Jaguars team that doesnt pose a threat to their depleted secondary. They also had little trouble throwing on Jacksonvilles secondary last year in a 38-13 blowout win. Rivers tossed 3 TD passes and finished with 334 yards through the air. Despite last weeks OT loss to Denver, the Chargers beleaguered offensive line played much better, allowing the team to rush for 185 yards. Ryan Mathews ran for 137 of those yards on just 22 carries (6.2 YPC), proving that his bothersome knee injury is close to 100 percent. No. 1 WR Vincent Jackson continued his roller coaster season, catching only two passes for 25 yards against the Broncos. For the season, Jackson has six games of fewer than 50 receiving yards and four games of 100+ yards. He could have another down week facing Jacksonvilles fourth-best pass defense (183 YPG).
The Jaguars QB situation is certainly unsettled. Rookie QB Blaine Gabbert has the worst passer rating in the entire league (62.2), and he was benched in last weeks loss to Houston in favor of Luke McCown. The eight-year veteran started the season as the No. 1 QB, but lost his job in the middle of Week 2 after throwing four interceptions against the Jets. McCown was serviceable in the Texans game (7-of-11, 62 yards) but his career passer rating of 68.5 (6.4 YPA, 9 TD, 14 INT) doesnt inspire much confidence. Not only has Jones-Drew done the job rushing the football, but hes now getting more involved in the passing game, tallying 11 receptions in the past three weeks. He had just 12 catches in his first eight games this year. San Diegos secondary should be able to limit whichever QB is under center, but its run defense will have a hard time stopping Jones-Drew. The Chargers currently place 25th in the NFL in run defense, allowing 132 rushing YPG.
Texas Sized Showdown
Sportsbook.com Line: Houston -3, Total: 46.5
Bragging rights for the state of Texas are on the line Sunday at 1 PM ET as the undefeated Houston Texans host the surprisingly winless Dallas Cowboys.
Despite being favored in their first two games, Dallas is 0-2. Houston rushed for 257 yards in a season-opening win against Indianapolis and then took to the air in a 30-27 overtime-comeback win in Washington in Week 2.
The Cowboys may not be at full strength for Sunday’s game. Star tight end Jason Witten is questionable after suffering a concussion in the loss to Chicago. CB Mike Jenkins is also questionable for Sunday’s game with a knee injury.
The biggest question in “Big D” is the Cowboys offense, which has just two offensive touchdowns this year. Tony Romo has thrown for 656 yards, but has just two TD and two INT to show for it. Granted, the two picks were the result of tipped balls and not poor throws, but there is no excuse for the Cowboys running game. Dallas rushed for a meager 36 yards against Chicago as Felix Jones was held to seven yards on seven carries.
No such offensive problems are present with the Texans. Matt Schaub threw for 497 yards against the Redskins and Arian Foster leads the NFL in rushing with 300 yards. Andre Johnson, the best wide receiver on the planet right now, caught 12 passes for 158 yards and a touchdown in the win over Washington. Johnson left Sunday’s game with a sprained right ankle, but was able to return, and also expects to play against Dallas this week.
These teams have only met twice in the past. Houston’s first-ever NFL game in 2002 was a stunning 19-10 upset over Dallas. The Cowboys waited four years to get their revenge, then blew out the Texans 34-6 in a 2006 game.
Bettors that think Dallas will get back on the covering track will be pleased to read the following betting trend:
Play Against - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game against opponent after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game. (36-13 over the last 10 seasons.) (73.5%, +21.7 units. Rating = 2*).
Meanwhile, if you are planning on betting on the ‘total’, pay attention to this trend:
Play Over - Any team against the total (DALLAS) - after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game against opponent after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game. (55-20 over the last 10 seasons.) (73.3%, +33 units. Rating = 3*).
Now that you have the key numbers on Sunday’s Cowboys @ Texans game, head over to Sportsbook.com to place your bets. After making your wagers, be sure to check out the always popular $100,000 Perfect Parlay promotion.